# Las Vegas Airport Passengers Nowcast (Harry Reid, LAS)

Source: Passenger Index, https://passengerindex.com/web/markets/las-vegas/air/ (CC BY 4.0). Updated 2026-11-07.

Sections: [Overview](https://passengerindex.com/web/markets/las-vegas/), [Air travel](https://passengerindex.com/web/markets/las-vegas/air/), [Hotels](https://passengerindex.com/web/markets/las-vegas/hotels/), [Gaming](https://passengerindex.com/web/markets/las-vegas/gaming/), [Events](https://passengerindex.com/web/markets/las-vegas/events/)

Passenger Index estimates that Harry Reid International Airport (LAS) handled about 4.6 million passengers in October 2026, 5.2% fewer than a year earlier. The airport has not reported October yet; its figures come out about four weeks after the month ends. The nowcast is built from TSA checkpoint screenings at LAS and has tracked the airport's own count with a correlation of 0.89 and an average miss of 2.1 percentage points over 35 months.

## Passengers: nowcast vs reported



| Month | Nowcast | Reported | Miss |
|---|---:|---:|---:|
| Oct 2026 | -5.2% | not yet reported | – |
| Sep 2026 | -10.0% | -8.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Aug 2026 | -9.4% | -9.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Jul 2026 | -10.1% | -7.6% | -2.6 pts |
| Jun 2026 | -13.6% | -9.3% | -4.2 pts |
| May 2026 | -8.9% | -8.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Apr 2026 | -12.7% | -7.2% | -5.6 pts |
| Mar 2026 | -8.2% | -4.2% | -4.0 pts |
| Feb 2026 | -4.2% | -3.3% | -0.9 pts |
| Jan 2026 | -6.6% | -7.5% | +0.9 pts |
| Dec 2025 | -8.9% | -10.3% | +1.4 pts |
| Nov 2025 | – | -9.7% | – |
| Oct 2025 | -9.4% | -7.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Sep 2025 | -7.9% | -6.4% | -1.5 pts |
| Aug 2025 | -2.4% | -5.9% | +3.5 pts |
| Jul 2025 | -4.9% | -5.7% | +0.7 pts |
| Jun 2025 | -4.2% | -6.3% | +2.1 pts |
| May 2025 | -5.4% | -3.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Apr 2025 | -2.6% | -3.4% | +0.8 pts |
| Mar 2025 | -1.9% | -3.9% | +2.0 pts |
| Feb 2025 | -3.4% | -7.5% | +4.1 pts |
| Jan 2025 | +3.2% | +0.3% | +2.9 pts |
| Dec 2024 | -1.8% | +1.1% | -2.9 pts |
| Nov 2024 | – | -2.1% | – |
| Oct 2024 | -2.2% | -3.4% | +1.2 pts |
| Sep 2024 | +4.1% | -0.7% | +4.8 pts |
| Aug 2024 | +2.8% | +5.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Jul 2024 | +0.7% | +2.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Jun 2024 | +5.2% | +3.3% | +1.8 pts |
| May 2024 | +5.2% | +4.8% | +0.3 pts |
| Apr 2024 | +2.5% | +1.5% | +1.0 pts |
| Mar 2024 | +3.7% | +2.0% | +1.6 pts |
| Feb 2024 | +1.2% | +3.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Jan 2024 | +1.7% | -0.8% | +2.5 pts |
| Dec 2023 | +5.5% | +10.3% | -4.8 pts |
| Nov 2023 | – | +6.1% | – |
| Oct 2023 | +3.5% | +5.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Sep 2023 | -0.8% | +0.7% | -1.5 pts |
| Aug 2023 | +0.7% | -0.5% | +1.1 pts |
| Jul 2023 | – | +1.7% | – |
| Jun 2023 | – | +4.2% | – |
| May 2023 | – | +8.2% | – |
| Apr 2023 | – | +13.0% | – |
| Mar 2023 | – | +15.7% | – |
| Feb 2023 | +24.2% | +24.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Jan 2023 | +38.8% | +39.3% | -0.5 pts |
## International arrivals, year over year



International arrivals processed by CBP at LAS were +12.8% year over year in Nov 1-5, 2026 (non-US citizens +11.6%), against the same weekdays a year earlier.

## Air travel vs Las Vegas visitors



Air travel and visitors have moved apart since 2025. In September 2026, LVCVA counted +0.2% visitors year over year while Harry Reid passengers changed -8.5%. Many visitors drive, and TSA screenings also count residents leaving town, so from mid-2023 the TSA reading alone correlated only 0.06 with visitor volume (against 0.89 with the airport's own count).

Source: LVCVA

## Airlines



Biggest changes in September 2026: Spirit -367,625 passengers (-100.0%); Southwest -70,671 passengers (-4.0%); JetBlue +10,237 passengers (+13.1%); Frontier +118,232 passengers (+39.5%).



| Airline | Passengers, Sep 2026 | A year earlier | YoY | Share |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| Southwest | 1,707,930 | 1,778,601 | -4.0% | 41.9% |
| Frontier | 417,690 | 299,458 | +39.5% | 10.2% |
| Delta | 390,379 | 425,014 | -8.1% | 9.6% |
| United | 362,758 | 359,666 | +0.9% | 8.9% |
| American | 356,513 | 357,789 | -0.4% | 8.7% |
| Alaska + Hawaiian | 200,087 | 237,633 | -15.8% | 4.9% |
| Other airlines | 185,181 | 179,498 | +3.2% | 4.5% |
| Allegiant | 131,632 | 137,410 | -4.2% | 3.2% |
| JetBlue | 88,557 | 78,320 | +13.1% | 2.2% |
| Tours and private (other terminals) | 81,012 | 97,540 | -16.9% | 2.0% |
| Air Canada | 40,953 | 43,553 | -6.0% | 1.0% |
| WestJet | 40,255 | 40,566 | -0.8% | 1.0% |
| Breeze | 38,846 | 22,445 | +73.1% | 1.0% |
| Volaris | 34,841 | 26,572 | +31.1% | 0.9% |
| Spirit | 0 | 367,625 | -100.0% | 0.0% |
Source: Harry Reid International Airport, Clark County Department of Aviation, "Detailed Passenger Report (monthly)", through September 2026, https://www.harryreidairport.com/business/airport-operations/financial-reporting-statistics/airport-activity/2026-aviation-statistics. Figures from Clark County belong to Clark County and are reproduced with attribution; they are not covered by Passenger Index's CC BY 4.0 licence.



## International arrivals



| Month | International arrivals (Harry Reid) | YoY | CBP passengers processed | YoY | Non-US share (CBP) |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| Oct 2026 | – | – | 98,983 | +11.7% | 75.5% |
| Sep 2026 | 142,040 | +5.2% | 95,334 | +8.0% | 82.6% |
| Aug 2026 | 149,411 | +3.9% | 104,286 | +6.5% | 77.8% |
| Jul 2026 | 155,597 | +6.4% | 108,213 | +11.8% | 68.8% |
| Jun 2026 | 132,507 | -0.6% | 90,584 | +9.2% | 66.7% |
| May 2026 | 141,219 | -5.1% | 91,801 | +6.5% | 81.7% |
| Apr 2026 | – | – | 81,782 | -5.3% | 81.4% |
| Mar 2026 | 133,631 | -14.9% | 73,696 | -6.1% | 77.6% |
| Feb 2026 | 122,906 | -10.6% | 71,916 | +3.8% | 81.9% |
| Jan 2026 | 141,177 | -17.8% | 97,714 | -7.4% | 70.9% |
| Dec 2025 | 125,281 | -24.0% | 77,993 | -8.3% | 75.9% |
| Nov 2025 | 120,236 | -21.9% | 72,121 | -4.5% | 76.6% |
| Oct 2025 | 147,883 | -14.3% | 88,585 | -1.2% | 79.1% |
| Sep 2025 | 134,998 | -13.7% | 88,311 | +4.5% | 81.9% |
| Aug 2025 | 143,800 | -3.9% | 97,914 | +14.3% | 77.8% |
| Jul 2025 | 146,297 | -3.3% | 96,799 | +10.0% | 71.0% |
| Jun 2025 | 133,289 | -9.5% | 82,969 | +2.4% | 72.8% |
| May 2025 | 148,794 | -7.8% | 86,206 | +9.3% | 81.2% |
| Apr 2025 | 157,162 | -2.3% | 86,331 | +10.1% | 81.0% |
| Mar 2025 | 156,995 | -1.5% | 78,499 | +4.4% | 72.2% |
| Feb 2025 | 137,417 | -4.3% | 69,285 | -1.2% | 77.7% |
| Jan 2025 | 171,849 | +18.0% | 105,579 | +29.7% | 69.4% |
| Dec 2024 | 164,879 | +14.7% | 85,007 | +23.0% | 75.3% |
| Nov 2024 | 153,909 | +15.5% | 75,482 | +24.1% | 79.3% |
| Oct 2024 | 172,569 | +10.7% | 89,653 | +17.3% | 81.9% |
| Sep 2024 | 156,346 | +14.0% | 84,527 | +16.8% | 83.5% |
| Aug 2024 | 149,682 | +4.7% | 85,662 | +6.7% | 77.0% |
| Jul 2024 | 151,284 | +1.4% | 87,994 | +6.2% | 70.7% |
| Jun 2024 | 147,233 | +8.7% | 81,001 | +13.8% | 75.2% |
| May 2024 | 161,418 | +19.6% | 78,845 | +22.4% | 82.9% |
| Apr 2024 | 160,929 | +19.3% | 78,413 | – | 83.8% |
| Mar 2024 | 159,332 | +25.8% | 75,196 | – | 80.1% |
| Feb 2024 | 143,591 | +42.5% | 70,101 | – | 82.4% |
| Jan 2024 | 145,619 | +23.6% | 81,424 | – | 74.6% |
| Dec 2023 | 143,690 | +39.0% | 69,106 | – | 80.3% |
| Nov 2023 | 133,219 | +15.5% | 60,817 | – | 81.5% |
| Oct 2023 | 155,849 | +10.3% | 76,429 | – | 85.5% |
| Sep 2023 | 137,160 | +6.1% | 72,345 | – | 84.1% |
| Aug 2023 | 142,924 | +14.4% | 80,274 | – | 78.1% |
| Jul 2023 | 149,191 | +12.8% | 82,848 | – | 70.8% |
| Jun 2023 | 135,508 | +12.6% | 71,200 | – | 73.5% |
| May 2023 | 134,939 | +14.5% | 64,432 | – | 80.0% |
| Apr 2023 | 134,876 | +34.8% | – | – | – |
| Mar 2023 | 126,683 | +60.7% | – | – | – |
| Feb 2023 | 100,778 | +95.7% | – | – | – |
| Jan 2023 | 117,814 | +142.5% | – | – | – |


## How the nowcast is measured



Harry Reid International Airport counts every passenger who gets on or off a plane at LAS, including people changing planes. TSA counts the people who start a trip there. Each month's nowcast takes the year-over-year change in average daily TSA screenings at LAS and adds the gap between the airport's reported change and TSA's over the three latest months the airport has reported, then applies it to the airport's count a year earlier. The month so far compares the days to date with the same weekdays a year earlier. The backtest uses only data that was available at the time.


## Frequently asked questions

### Why is the nowcast available before Harry Reid's report?

TSA's checkpoint counts come out within days; the airport publishes its monthly passenger report about four weeks after the month ends.

### Why did Las Vegas air traffic fall in 2026?

Biggest changes in September 2026: Spirit -367,625 passengers (-100.0%); Southwest -70,671 passengers (-4.0%); JetBlue +10,237 passengers (+13.1%); Frontier +118,232 passengers (+39.5%). Spirit Airlines stopped flying to Las Vegas in 2026.